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High vaccination rate helps to reduce the risk of variants, says WHO

Geneva: On Monday, a top World Health Organization official estimated that COVID-19 vaccination coverage of at least 80% is needed to significantly lower the risk that “imported” coronavirus cases like those linked to new variants could produce a cluster or a wider outbreak. Dr. Michael Ryan, WHO’s emergency’s chief, told in a news conference that finally, “high levels of vaccination coverage are the way out of this pandemic.”

Several rich countries have been thinking to vaccinate teenagers and children, who have a lower risk of more dangerous cases of COVID-19 than the elderly or people with comorbidities, even as those same countries face pressure to share vaccines with poorer ones that lack them.

Britain, which has largely reduced case counts thanks to an energetic vaccination campaign, has seen a recent uptick in cases associated largely with the so-called delta variant that originally appeared in India — a former British colony.

Ryan confirmed that data wasn’t fully clear about what percentage of vaccination coverage was necessary to fully have an impact on transmission. “But … it’s certainly north of 80% coverage to be in a position where you could be significantly affecting the risk of an imported case potentially generating secondary cases or causing a cluster or an outbreak,” he said.

“So it does require quite high levels of vaccination, particularly in the context of more transmissible variants, to be on the safe side,” Ryan added.

WHO’s technical lead on COVID-19, Maria Van Kerkhove, noted the delta variant is developing in more than 60 countries and is more transmissible than the alpha variant, which first appeared in Britain. She cited “worrying trends of increased transmissibility, increased social mixing, relaxing of public health and social measures, and uneven and inequitable vaccine distribution around the world.”

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director-General, in the meantime, called on leaders of the developed Group of Seven countries to help the U.N-backed vaccination program against COVID-19 to boost access to doses in the developing world. With G-7 leaders set to meet in England later this week, Tedros said, they could help meet his target that at least 10% of the populations in every country are vaccinated by the end of September — and 30% by year-end.

“To reach these targets, we need an additional 250 million doses by September, and we need hundreds of million doses just in June and July,” he said, alluding to the summit involving Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States. “These seven nations have the power to meet these targets. I’m calling on the G-7 not just to commit to sharing those, but to commit to sharing them in June and July.”

During the time of continued tight supply of vaccines, Tedros also called on manufacturers to give the “first right of refusal” on new vaccine volumes to the U.N.-backed COVAX program or to perform half of their volumes to COVAX this year. He informed of a “two-track pandemic,” with mortality among older age groups dipping in countries with higher vaccination rates even as rates have risen in the Americas, Africa and the Western Pacific region.

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